Estimation of Project Performance Using Earned Value Management and Fuzzy Regression

Journal of System Management

مقاله 7، دوره 2، شماره 1، فروردین 2016، صفحه 105-122

نوع مقاله: Research Paper

نویسندگان

Mohammad Mahdi Asgari Dehabadi^{* 1}؛ Mostafa Salari²؛ Ali Reza Mirzaei³

¹Department of Industrial engineering, University of Economic Science Tehran, Iran

²Department of Industrial engineering, Sharif University of Technology Tehran, Iran

³Department of Technology Management, Allameh Tabataba’ee University Tehran, Iran

چکیده

Earned Value Management is a critical project management
methodology that evaluates project performance from cost and
schedule viewpoints. The novel theoretical framework presented in this
paper estimates future performance of project regarding the past relative
information. It benefits from fuzzy regression (FR) models in estimation
process in order to deal with the vagueness and impreciseness of
real data. Furthermore, fuzzy-based estimation is evaluated using linguistic
terms to interpret different possible condition of projects. The
proposed model can greatly assists project managers to assess prospective
performance of project and alerts them in taking of necessary
actions. Finally, one illustrative case associated with a construction
project has been provided to illustrate the applicability of theoretical
model in real situations.

کلیدواژه‌ها

Fuzzy regression؛ earned value management؛ Project Management؛ Estimation

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