ارائه ی مدلی ترکیبی جهت ارزیابی ریسک های یک پروژه ی B.O.T

فصلنامه مدیریت راهبردی در سیستم های صنعتی (مدیریت صنعتی سابق)

مقاله 1، دوره 9، شماره 27، خرداد 1393، صفحه 1-16   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

لیلا فضلی^{* 1}؛ علیرضا عیدی²

¹دانش آموخته ی کارشناسی ارشد مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران

²استادیارگروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه کردستان، سنندج، ایران

چکیده

در سراسر جهان B.O.T به عنوان روشی برای جذب بخش خصوصی در پروژه هایی که دچار کمبود منابع، عدم دسترسی به فناوری لازم و ... هستند، گسترش روزافزونی داشته است. شکست در چنین پروژه هایی هزینه های سنگین اقتصادی و اجتماعی را به تمامی طرف های قرارداد تحمیل خواهدکرد. بنابراین همچنان که T .B.O کنترل دولت را بر تأسیسات حفظ خواهد نمود، اما در عین حال عدم وجود شناخت کافی از محیط اجرای پروژه، می تواند ریسک بالایی برای سازمان پروژه به همراه داشته باشد. بر این اساس شناسایی و مدیریت ریسک، لازمه ی مؤفقیت پروژه های  B.O.Tمی باشد. بنابراین در این مطالعه، یک مدل ارزیابی بر پایه ی تکنیک های: پروفایل کارایی ورودی بهبود یافته -  تاکسونومی عددی، آنالیز اجزای اصلی بهبود یافته، بازی دو نفره با مجموع صفر -  UTASTAR  و کپلند به منظور ارزیابی ریسک های موجود در یک پروژه ی B.O.T پیشنهاد می گردد. همچنین به نظور بررسی عملکرد مدل پیشنهادی، یک مثال عددی به همراه تحلیل نتایج و اعتبارسنجی آن  ارائه می گردد. 
 

کلیدواژه‌ها

پروژه ی B.O.T؛ شناسایی و مدیریت ریسک؛ ارزیابی ریسک

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