Project Risk Assessment Framework

Journal of Industrial Strategic Management

مقاله 4، دوره 2، شماره 1، اردیبهشت 2017، صفحه 33-44   

نوع مقاله: Original Article

نویسندگان

Mehran Khalaj^* ؛ Amir Hossine Khalaj

Young Researchers and Elite Club, Robat Karim Branch, Islamic Azad University, Robat Karim, Iran

چکیده

This study presents a framework for calculating the risk of various projects, especially projects under uncertain circumstances. First, the related literature is reviewed and then the relationship between risk and projects is examined. Using a case study an approach is provided to determine the project risk in uncertain circumstances where sufficient data is not available for decision-making. In the new proposed method, instead of using a purely qualitative method, Dempster-Shafer theory has been used because of the limited data for decision making.  Finally, the proposed method is examined based on a construction company and the results are presented.

کلیدواژه‌ها

Uncertainty؛ project management؛ Dempster-Shafer theory؛ risk؛ probability