Predicted Increase Enrollment in Higher Education Using Neural Networks and Data Mining Techniques

Journal of Advances in Computer Research

شناسنامه علمی شماره، دوره 7، شماره 4 - شماره پیاپی 26، بهمن 2016، صفحه 125-140   

نویسندگان

Behzad Nakhkob¹؛ Maryam Khademi^{* 2}

¹Student of Department of Computer Science, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

²Assistant Professor Department of Applied Mathematics, South Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

چکیده

Advanced data mining techniques can be used in universities classification, discovering specific patterns in the determination of successful students, design of a plan or a teaching method and finding critical points of financial management. In this article, we proposed a method to predict the rate of student enrollment in coming years. The data for this research were from data sets of volunteers’ postgraduate Islamic Azad university entrance exam. At first stage, we built 15 different neural networks. In order to increase the accuracy, we employed the collective bagging and boosting models. Finally, the four models, neural networks, decision trees, Bayes simple and logistic regression, were applied on the dataset and evaluate by three criteria included, accuracy, Matthews correlation and ROC curve. The findings indicated that to predict “Students who were accepted” would enroll; the bagging method is the most accurate one.

کلیدواژه‌ها

Bagging model؛ Boosting؛ model؛ Decision tree؛ Bayesian Simple؛ Kappa Precision؛ Mathews Correlation؛ T-Test Curve