Financial Performance Evaluation of companies using decision trees algorithm and multi-criteria decision-making techniques with an emphasis on investor’s risk-taking behavior

Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications

مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 16 دی 1399  

نوع مقاله: Research Paper

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22034/amfa.2020.1897171.1405

نویسندگان

zinat Ansari¹؛ Rezvan Hejazi ²؛ Yaghoob Zeraat kish³؛ Zabihallah Khani masoum abadi⁴

¹Department of accounting, Yasooj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Yasooj, Iran

²Professor of accounting, Scientific member of financial & economic faculty, Khatam University, Tehran, Iran

³Science and research branch, Islamic Azad university , Tehran, Iran

⁴Assistant Professor ,Department of accounting, Fasa Branch, Islamic Azad University, Fasa, Iran

چکیده

Evaluating the performance of companies using their financial ratios is a challenging task that is expected to become more straightforward by reducing the dimensionality of the data. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the performance of companies using a hybrid model for investment-related decision making through which the mean value of various financial ratios are calculated based on the investor's risk-taking behavior so that the number of all criteria is reduced to one single value for each alternative. To do so, a sample of 172 companies listed in Tehran Stock Ex-change was selected from 2008 to -2018. Firstly, the financial ratios were prioritized using decision trees regression analysis (type CART) and TOPSIS Technique. The results showed that Gross Profit Margin and Debt to Equity Ratio are the most and the least important factors, respectively. Then, using OWA (Ordered Weighted Averaging Aggregation) operator, the role of investor’s risk-taking behavior was investigated, and the results showed that investor’s risk-taking behavior changes the outcome of the decision-making process significantly.

کلیدواژه‌ها

Financial Ratios؛ TOPSIS Technique؛ OWA operator