مدل‌سازی خرده‌فروش در برنامه‌ریزی بهینه و تاب آور ظرفیت شبکه‌های هوشمند، با درنظرگرفتن منابع مدیریت سمت تقاضا و عدم‌قطعیت‌ها

روش‌های هوشمند در صنعت برق

مقالات آماده انتشار، پذیرفته شده، انتشار آنلاین از تاریخ 18 شهریور 1402   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

احسان خوش کردار؛ عبداله راستگو^* ؛ سعید خراطی

دانشکده مهندسی برق- واحد کرمانشاه، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرمانشاه، ایران

چکیده

هر ساله در سراسر جهان خاموشی­های بسیاری به­دلیل فجایع طبیعی رخ می­دهند که هزینه­های بسیاری به­منظور بازیابی شبکه تحمیل می­کنند. از این­رو مفهوم تاب­آوری تعریف و تلاش­ها برای عملکرد تاب­آور شبکه­های برق شدت گرفت. یکی از موارد مهم در طراحی شبکه­های برق تاب­آور، تامین ظرفیت مورد نیاز سیستم با در نظرگرفتن موضوع تاب­آوری است که مدنظر این مقاله است. از آنجا که با توجه به دلایل اقتصادی حضور بیشتر ارائه ­دهندگان ظرفیت سبب ایجاد رقابت و بهبود کارایی بازار می­­شود، باید از منابع مدیریت سمت مصرف نیز در بازار ظرفیت استفاده شود. با توجه به این­که حضور پایدار و کارای منابع مدیریت سمت مصرف در بازار ظرفیت تنها با مشارکت شرکت­های تامین­کننده بار، که در این مقاله شرکت­های خرده­فروشی در نظر گرفته شده­اند، امکان­پذیر است، باید پارامترهای تاثیرگذار بر رفتار آنها و نحوه تعامل آنها با دو بخش بازار (مدیریت بازار و مشترکین) در هر دو سمت بازار مدل­سازی شود. از این­رو در این مقاله مدل­سازی و ارزیابی شده است که مشارکت خرده­فروش در بازار ظرفیت چگونه است و تا چه میزان می­تواند بر کاهش هزینه­های قابلیت­اطمینان و تاب­آوری در بازار ظرفیت موثر باشد. طبیعی است که باید سود خرده­فروش در این تجارت نیز محاسبه شود و اطمینان حاصل شود که خرده­فروش با کسب سود قابل قبول در این بازار حضور خواهد یافت تا شبکه نیز از حضور او بهره­مند شود. نتایج عددی نشان داده است که به­کارگیری خرده­فروش به عنوان نماینده منابع سمت مصرف در بازار ظرفیت سبب کاهش هزینه­های خاموشی به اندازه 5/1 درصد معادل با صرفه جویی 297638 دلار در سال خواهد شد، این در حالی است که خرده­فروش نیز از این تجارت به­طور متوسط روزانه حدود 3716 دلار سود خواهد برد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

تاب‌آوری؛ خرده‌فروش؛ شبکه هوشمند؛ مدل‌سازی ظرفیت

سایر فایل های مرتبط با مقاله

1964-Extended Abstract.pdf

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