تحلیل عوامل موثر هوشمند و دیجیتال انقلاب صنعتی چهارم با رویکرد مدیریت استراتژی در تدوین نقشه راه تکنولوژی صنایع ساخت تجهیزات نیروگاهی و تامین انرژی

فصلنامه مدیریت راهبردی در سیستم های صنعتی (مدیریت صنعتی سابق)

دوره 18، شماره 65، مهر 1402، صفحه 34-53   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.30495/imj.2023.1990675.1858

نویسندگان

شیرین کرباسی¹؛ غلامرضا هاشم زاده خوراسگانی^{* 2}؛ عباس خمسه³؛ کیامرث فتحی هفشجانی⁴

¹دانشجوی دکتری گروه مدیریت صنعتی، واحد تهران جنوب، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران

²دانشیار عضو هیات علمی گروه مدیریت صنعتی واحد تهران جنوب، تهران، ایران

³دانشیار گروه مدیریت صنعتی، واحد کرج، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، کرج، ایران

⁴استادیار گروه مدیریت صنعتی، واحد تهران جنوب، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

رشد و توسعه روزافزون تکنولوژی‌های نوظهور هم‌زمان با ورود به انقلاب صنعتی چهارم با ویژگی‌های هوشمند و دیجیتال سبب تحولات بسیاری در شکل سنتی کسب‌وکارها گردیده و سازمان‌ها را ناگزیر از همسو شدن با این تغییرات جهت تداوم در بازار رقابتی نموده است. نقشه راه تکنولوژی از موثرترین رویکرد‌ها جهت همسو نمودن استراتژی‌های سازمان با برنامه‌ریزی در حوزه تکنولوژی است که از منظر استراتژیک و تلفیق آن با تکنولوژی‌های نوین انقلاب صنعتی چهارم، نقشه راه تکنولوژی انقلاب صنعتی چهارم سازمان‌ها را به‌سوی تکنولوژی‌های نوین هوشمند و دیجیتال در راستای تحقق اهداف سازمان و افزایش بهره‌وری در تولید رهنمون می‌گردد. در واقع نقشه‌راه تکنولوژی نوعی ابزار آینده‌نگاری تکنولوژی و برنامه‌ریزی استراتژیک در راستای بررسی ساختار‌مند از توسعه تکنولوژی و علومی است که تأثیرات بالایی بر رقابت صنایع و خلق ثروت و افزایش کیفیت زندگی دارد. این پژوهش درصدد تحلیل عوامل موثر هوشمند و دیجیتال انقلاب صنعتی چهارم با رویکرد مدیریت راهبردی در تدوین نقشه-راه تکنولوژی صنایع ساخت تجهیزات نیروگاهی و تامین انرژی می‌باشد. در همین راستا ابتدا با استفاده از ادبیات و مصاحبه با تعدادی از کارشناسان ذی‌ربط در صنایع ساخت تجهیزات نیروگاهی و تامین انرژی عوامل متعددی استخراج گردید و سپس به روش دلفی فازی عوامل نهایی شده و با استفاده از تکنیک TOPSIS رتبه‌بندی شدند. نتایج نمایانگر این است که معیار طراحی و تولید هوشمند بالاترین رتبه را داراست و همچنین مؤلفه تعریف و متعادل‌سازی سبد تحقیق و توسعه رتبه اول و مؤلفه ارزیابی تکنولوژی رتبه دوم و مؤلفه ارزیابی تغییرات بازار رتبه سوم را دارا می‌باشند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

نقشه راه تکنولوژی؛ نقشه راه تکنولوژی انقلاب صنعتی چهارم؛ تحول دیجیتال؛ هوشمند‌سازی؛ آینده‌نگاری

مراجع

1. Abbasi Agha Maleki, H., Abdoli, Gh., Suri, A., & Ebrahimi, M. (2019). The effect of innovation on stock fluctuations of pharmaceutical companies of Tehran Stock Exchange. Financial Economics, 12(45), 27-49 [In Persian].
2. Aghajani, H., Shariati, Z., & Hosseini, A. (2020). Explaining the Evolutionary Process and Components Affecting the E-Business Model in Iranian Startups. Journal of Improvement Management, 14(1), 127-147. doi: 10.22034/jmi.2020.106794
3. Alekseev, Alexander & Buraeva, Elena & Kletskova, Elena & Rykhtikova, Natalia. (2019). Stages of Formation of Industry 4.0 and the Key Indicators of Its Development. 10.1007/978-3-319-94310-7_9.
4. Aleksei V. Bogoviz, Tatiana I. Gulyaeva, Elena I. Semenova &  Svetlana V. Lobova. (2019). Transformation Changes in the System of Professional Competences of a Modern Specialists in the Conditions of Knowledge Economy’s Formation and the Innovational Approach to Training. In: Popkova, E., Ragulina, Y., Bogoviz, A. (eds) Industry 4.0: Industrial Revolution of the 21st Century. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 169. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-94310-7_19.
5. Alexander, Rachel .(2021), The Fourth Industrial Revolution in South African Manufacturing and Connectivity: Case Studies of Automotive and Mining Equipment Manufacturing, along with Transportation and ICT Infrastructure and Services, SARChI Industrial Development Working Paper Series, September, 1-86.
6. Alipour Sarvari, P., Ustundag, A., Cevikcan, E., Kaya, I and Selcuk, C. (2018). Technology Roadmap for Industry 4.0, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Management, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Turkey, Springer International Publishing Switzerland. https: //doi. org/10. 1007/978-3-319-57870-5_5. (in Persian).
7. Alwani, M. Adel, A, & Danai Fard, H. (2004), Qualitative Research Methodology in Management: A Comprehensive Approach, Masher Tshraghi, Safar, first edition, 288 pages, Dewey classification: 6580072. (In Persian).
8. Asari, M.H., Khamseh, A., Radfer, R., Shadnoosh, N. (2018). Identifying and examining the key factors affecting the management of future research and development projects in industries with advanced aerospace technologies, Scientific Research Journal of Defense Future Research, 4(12): (109-141). (in Persian).
9. Ashraf Khoramani, A. & Khamseh, A. (2018). Evaluating the technological capability of the wind turbine industry by using Panda and Ramanathan models. Journal of industrial technology development, 17(37), 29-36. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/388654/en. (In Persian).
10. Barış Bayram & Gökhan İnce. (2018). Advances in Robotics in the Era of Industry 4.0 , © Springer International Publishing Switzerland A. Ustundag and E. Cevikcan, Industry 4.0: Managing The Digital Transformation, Springer Series in Advanced Manufacturing, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57870-5_11.
11. Chatterjee, Sutirtha and Moody, Gregory Daniel and Lowry, Paul Benjamin and Chakraborty, Suranjan and Hardin, Andrew, (2020). Information technology and organizational innovation: Harmonious information technology affordance and courage-based actualization (March 1, 2020). Journal of Strategic Information Systems (JSIS), vol. 29(1), March, Article 101596, pp. 1–23, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3500566
12. Cobra, Raphael & Sanvezzo, Paula & Branciforti, Márcia & Mascarenhas, Janaina. (2021). Circular Technology Roadmapping (TRM): Fostering Sustainable Material Development. 13. 7036. 10.3390/su13137036.
13. Daim, T. U, Faili, Z. (2019). Zindustry. 4.0 Value Roadmap, SpringerBriefs in Entrepreneurship and Innovation. https: //doi. org/10. 1007/978-3-030-30066-1. (In Persian).
14. Dehghan Nayeri, M., Azar, A., & Javid Milani, S. (2019). Technology Road Mapping (TRM) based on Strategic Option Development and Analysis: Mazare Novin Iranian Company. Journal of Improvement Management, 13(3), 1-22. (In Persian).
15. Douglas Pedro de Alcantara., Mauro Luiz Martens. (2018). Technology Roadmapping (TRM): a systematic review of the literature focusing on models, Technological Forecasting & Social Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.08.014.
16. Elena A., Kolesnichenko, Yana Y., Radyukova. & Nikolai N., Pakhomov. (2019). The Role and Importance of Knowledge Economy as a Platform for Formation of Industry 4.0, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature 2019 E. G. Popkova et al. (eds.), Industry 4.0: Industrial Revolution of the 21st Century, Studies in Systems, Decision and Control 169, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-94310-7_7
17. Fartash, Kiaresh, & Mohseni Kiasri, Mustafa. (2019). Ranking the implementation measures of the technology roadmap with an emphasis on resources and technology acquisition: (a case study of two global roadmaps of electric vehicles and electric hybrids and smart networks). Innovation management and operational strategies, 1(4), 320-346. doi: 10.22105/imos.2020.262855.1019. (In Persian).
18. Ghalibaf, M., Ibn Reza, S. M., Nazari, M. (2019). What and why is the fourth industrial revolution? The second international conference on innovation in business management and economics, Tehran. (In Persian).
19. Ghobakhloo M. (2018). The future of manufacturing industry: a strategic roadmap toward Industry 4.0, Journal of Manufacturing Technology Management 29 No. 6, pp. 910-936.
20. Gil-Gómez, H., Guerola-Navarro, V., Oltra-Badenes, R., & Lozano-Quilis, J. (2020). Customer relationship management: digital transformation and sustainable business model innovation. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 33, 2733 - 2750.
21. Hajipour, B., Motmani, A. & Tayyibi Abolhasani, S. A. H. (2016). Transcombination of the success factors of the commercialization of products with advanced technology, scientific and research journal of innovation management, fifth year, number 4, winter, pages 19-54. (In Persian)
22. Hess, Thomas & Matt, Christian & Benlian, Alexander & Wiesb? ck, Florian. (2016). Options for Formulating a Digital Transformation Strategy. MIS Quarterly Executive. 15. 123-139.
23. Infrastructural research studies and production affairs, Office: Energy, Industry and Mining Studies, (2019). Identifying the transformational dimensions of the fourth industrial revolution in the steel industry and future technological perspectives, subject code: 310, serial number, 16992, Ardibehesht, pages 1-44. (In Persian).
24. Jermain Kaminskia, Christian Hoppa, Tereza Tykvovab. (2018). New technology assessment in entrepreneurial financing – Does crowdfunding predict venture capital investments?, Technological Forecasting & Social Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.11.015.
25. Jo, D. H. & Park, J. W. (2017). The determinants of technology commercialization performance of technology-based SMEs. KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems: 11(8), 4146-4161
26. Sousa, M. J., & Rocha, Á. (2019). Strategic knowledge management in the digital age: JBR special issue editorial. Journal of Business Research, 94, 223-226.
27. Kang, H.S., Lee, J.Y., Choi, S., Kim, H.J., Park, J.H., Son, J.Y., Kim, B.H., & Noh, S.D. (2016). Smart manufacturing: Past research, present findings, and future directions. International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing-Green Technology, 3, 111 - 128.
28. Karacay, G., Aydın, B. (2018). Internet of Things and New Value Proposition. In: Industry 4.0: Managing The Digital Transformation. Springer Series in Advanced Manufacturing. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57870-5_10
29. Karollay Giuliani de Oliveira Valério., Carlos Eduardo Sanches da Silva & Sandra Miranda Neves. (2020). Overview on the technology roadmapping (TRM) literature: gaps and perspectives. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 33:1, 58-69, DOI: 1080/09537325.2020.1787976
30. Khamsa, Abbas. Asari, Mohammad Hossein, (2018). Research and development management, an integrated approach to concepts, structure and organization, capabilities and management of research and development projects, Sarafraz Publishing House, Karaj, first edition, 501 pages, Dewey classification, 658/57.
31. Klubova, M., Matich, L., Salun, V., Veselitskaya, N. (2019). Technology Roadmaps: Emerging Technologies in the Aircraft and Shipbuilding Industries. In: Meissner, D., Gokhberg, L., Saritas, O. (eds) Emerging Technologies for Economic Development. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_7.
32. Krishnamurthi, R., & Kumar, A. (2020). Modeling and Simulation for Industry 4.0. A Roadmap to Industry 4.0: Smart Production, Sharp Business and Sustainable Development, 127-141.
33. Kumar, A., Nayyar, A. (2020). Si3-Industry: A Sustainable, Intelligent, Innovative, Internet-of-Things Industry. In: Nayyar, A., Kumar, A. (eds) A Roadmap to Industry 4.0: Smart Production, Sharp Business and Sustainable Development. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-14544-6_1.
34. Lertpiromsuk, S., Ueasangkomsate, P., & Sudharatna, Y. (2022). Skills and Human Resource Management for Industry 4.0 of Small and Medium Enterprises. International Congress on Information and Communication Technology.
35. Mallinguh, Edmund & Wasike, Christopher & Zoltan, Zeman. (2020). Technology Acquisition and SMEs Performance, the Role of Innovation, Export and the Perception of Owner-Managers. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 258. 10.3390/jrfm13110258.
36. Mohebbi, H., & Zare Mehrjardi, A. (2019). Investigating the Effect of Proactive market Orientation on Creating Market Changes and its Consequences in the tile and ceramic industry. Commercial Surveys, 17(98), 98-113.
37. Mohebi, azadeh, & heydari, amir. (2016). information technology roadmapping: an approach for aligning it strategies with business strategies. Iranian journal of information management, 1(1-2), 15-37. Sid. https://sid.ir/paper/262670/en
38. Namani seyghalan, A., Khamseh, A., & torabi, T. (2020). R&D Strategy Model in Power Plant Equipment's Manufacturing Industries in Order to Achieve Business Objectives. Strategic Management Researches, 26(76), 81-102. Nilipour Tabatabai, S. A., Tausi, Sh., Rafieipour Alavi, S D. (2019). Technology Foresight and Technology Forecasting, Differences and Similarities, 8th International Research Conference on Management, Economy and Development, Page 1-20, Scientific ID ICMET08-028. (In Persian)
39. Nilipour Tabatabai, S. A., Tausi, Sh., Rafieipour Alavi, S D. (2019). Technology Foresight and Technology Forecasting, Differences and Similarities, 8th International Research Conference on Management, Economy and Development, Page 1-20, Scientific ID ICMET08-028. (In Persian)
40. Okhravi, A.H., Shakiba Menesh, A.R. (2018). Presenting a model for developing a roadmap for the technologies of an advanced system, Technology Development Management Quarterly, 7(1), 91-118. (In Persian)
41. Park, H., Phaal, R., Ho, J., & O’Sullivan, E. (2020). Twenty years of technology and strategic roadmapping research: A school of thought perspective. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 154, 119965.
42. Peyvasteh Feridooni, M., Sohrabi, T., & Shadnoush, N. (2021). Examining the Impact of Dynamic Capabilities in Technology Assessment on level of Assessed Technology in Small and Medium Enterprises. - Case study-Iranian supply chain in Automotive Industry. Journal of Business Management, 13(50), 339-362. (In Persian)
43. Piskarev, A. & Zarikovskaya, N. (2020). Intelligent system of planning support and project management, Journal of Physics: Conference Series. doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1488/1/012029, Pages1-8.
44. Pourbahman, F., Askarifar, K., & Ronaghi, M. H. (2021). Identification and prioritizing smart retailing technologies based on technology characteristics and organizational capabilities (A case of Refah chain-stores). Journal of Technology Development Management, 9(1), 135-164. doi: 10.22104/jtdm.2021.4581.2681
45. Radfer, R. & Khamsa, A. (2016). Technology Management, Scientific and Cultural Publishing Company, Tehran. (In Persian).
46. Ramachandran, Abhinay. (2019). Angel Investors. Academic Entrepreneurship for Medical and Health Scientists. Academic Entrepreneurship for Medical and Health Sciences Angel Investors, 1(2), 1-12, https://doi.org/10.21428/b2e239dc.f7ae1c84. Available at: https://repository.upenn.edu/ace/vol1/iss2/5.
47. Ramona Rupeika-Apoga, Larisa Bule and Kristine Petrovska. (2022) Digital Transformation of Small and Medium Enterprises: Aspects of Public Support, Risk Financial Manag. 15, 45. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm15020045 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/jrfm.
48. Rezapourniari, M. (2018). The general framework of the technologies of the fourth industry (Industry 4.0) and its appearance in the media (Media4.0), the 16th national conference of media technology of the Islamic Republic of Iran, page 1-10. (In Persian).
49. Rezvanitabar, Mahdi, & Eslami, Siamak. (2020). Identification of the Challenges of Technology Development of Network Contexts in University of Tehran Incubators. ROSHD-E-FANAVARI, 16(64), 14-25. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/385833/en
50. Rogers, D. (2017). Translated by Morshidi, Mustafa. Digital Transformation Roadmap, published by Industrial Management Organization, Tehran. (In Persian).
51. Rossella Pozzi, Tommaso Rossi & Raffaele Secchi (2023). Industry 4.0 technologies: critical success factors for implementation and improvements in manufacturing companies, Production Planning & Control, 34:2, 139-158, DOI: 1080/09537287.2021.1891481
52. Saeedzadeh, F., Farazmand, A. and Panjstoni, A.R. (2015). Smart building and its application in human life. International research conference in science and technology. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/856788/fa. (In Persian).
53. Salimi Zawiya, S.G. (2019). a review of intelligent production systems and future trends, Technology Development Quarterly, 38, p 13-23. (In Persian).
54. Salkin, C., Oner, M., Ustundag, A., Cevikcan, E. (2018). A Conceptual Framework for Industry 4.0. In: Industry 4.0: Managing The Digital Transformation. Springer Series in Advanced Manufacturing. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57870-5_1
55. Saniuk, S., Grabowska, S., & Gajdzik, B. (2020). Social Expectations and Market Changes in the Context of Developing the Industry 4.0 Concept. Sustainability.
56. Schwab, K., (2017). The fourth industrial revolution. Moscow. http://www.litres.ru/pages/biblio_book/?art=21240265&lfrom=159481197.
57. Sharifi marjegal, Z., Moradi, M., & Ebrahimpour‏, M. (2021). Barriers to Innovation and its Prioritization in Entrepreneurial Family Business. Innovation Management Journal, 10(3), 59-87.
58. Sharma, A., Pandey, H. (2020). Big Data and Analytics in Industry 4.0. In: Nayyar, A., Kumar, A. (eds) A Roadmap to Industry 4.0: Smart Production, Sharp Business and Sustainable Development. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-14544-6_4.
59. Shirazi, H., Hashemzadeh, G., Radfar, R., & Torabi, T. (2019). The effect innovation capability on technology commercialization performance in knowledge based companies: The mediating role organizational innovation. Innovation Management in Defensive Organizations, 2(3), 81-106. doi: 10.22034/qjimdo.2019.101025
60. Sirer Afraz, M. & Sabihi, S. (2016). "Explanation of technology foresight in the vision of Iran 1404", the 4th Iran technology management conference.
61. Skulmoski, Gregory J., Francis T., Hartman, & Jennifer Krahn. (2007). "The Delphi method for graduate research." Journal of Information Technology Education: Research 6 (1), 1-21.
62. Sukhodolov, Yakov A. (2019). The Notion, Essence, and Peculiarities of Industry 4.0 as a Sphere of Industry, A. Sukhodolov (B) Baikal State University. Irkutsk, Russia.
63. Ullrich, Hanns (2020). Technology Protection and Competition Policy for the Information Economy. From Property Rights for Competition to Competition Without Proper Rights? (January 14, 2020). Max Planck Institute for Innovation & Competition Research, Paper No. 19-12, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3437177 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3437177.
64. Vajgel, Bruna & Corrêa, Pedro & Sousa, Thais & Quille, Rosa & Bedoya, John & De Almeida, Gustavo & Filgueiras, Lucia & Demuner, Vanessa & Mollica, Denis. (2021). Development of Intelligent Robotic Process Automation: A Utility Case Study in Brazil. IEEE Access. 9. 71222-71235. 10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3075693.
65. Wellstead, Adam & Heikkila, Tanya & Wood, Matt. (2022). Fourth Industrial Revolution and algorithms: New challenges for policy design. 10.4337/9781839106606.00020.
66. Yoon, J., Kim, Y. J., Vonortas, N. S., & Han, S. W. (2019). A moderated mediation model of technology roadmapping and innovation: The roles of corporate foresight and organizational support. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, 52, 61-73.